New York City is forecast to get about 1.5 to 2 inches of rain from Thursday morning, Nov. 12, through Friday, Nov. 13. A coastal flood advisory has been issued for the Ocean County shore in New Jersey from 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. on the 12th. The rain will end for the weekend, but daytime highs will remain in the upper 40s.
The National Weather Service (NWS) said in its Wednesday, Nov. 11, evening forecast that rain will begin in New York City around 8 a.m. on Thursday, Nov. 12, and continue through Friday evening, Nov. 13. Forecast rainfall is 0.5 to 0.75 inches during the day Thursday, 0.75 to 1 inch Thursday night and 0.25 to 0.5 inches during the day Friday, for a total of 1.5 inches to slightly more than 2 inches. Most of the rain is expected to end around 1 a.m. on the 13th.
Temperatures will fall along with the rain. After a Thursday high of around 60 degrees, readings will drop to the mid-50s in the afternoon, with a Thursday night low of 42. Friday's high will reach only 47, and temperatures will fall to around 40 in the afternoon. On Friday, north winds of 14 to 17 mph will make it feel even colder. It is advisable to bring an umbrella and waterproof footwear for the commute.
Flooding Possible Along Jersey Shore and South Shore of Long Island
The NWS Mount Holly office issued a Coastal Flood Advisory for Ocean County, New Jersey, and its coastal areas at 4:44 p.m. on the 11th. The advisory is in effect from 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. on the 12th, and low-lying areas along the coast and tidal waterways could see up to 0.5 feet (about 15 cm) of water above ground. Roads in seaside and bay-side neighborhoods that are prone to flooding will begin to take on water first, and some roads may be partially or fully closed. A coastal flood statement was also issued for the Nassau County shore on southern Long Island from 8 a.m. to 11 a.m. on the 12th.
In the mountains of upstate New York, snow and sleet may mix in instead of rain. A winter weather advisory has been issued for the western Catskills (western Greene and Ulster counties) from 7 p.m. on the 12th to 1 p.m. on the 13th, and for northern Hamilton and Warren counties and western Essex County in the Adirondacks from 10 a.m. on the 12th to 10 a.m. on the 13th. Anyone planning to drive north during this period should check road conditions in advance.
The rain will stop over the weekend and the sun will come out, but it will be chilly. Saturday, Nov. 14, will be mostly sunny with a high of 48, and Sunday, Nov. 15, will be sunny with a high of 49, with overnight lows in the low 40s. Real-time forecasts and weather alerts are available on the National Weather Service website (weather.gov/okx) and through Notify NYC, the New York City Emergency Management alert service.